News Stories

Predicting the Big One

It sure would be a relief for folks in California if they could predict the big one some OTHER way than looking for swarms of frogs. Soon they may be able to.

Researchers have found that stress-induced changes occurred in rocks a few hours before two small quakes in the San Andreas Fault area.

BBC News quotes researcher Paul Silver as saying, "If you had 10 hours' warning, from a practical point of view, you could evacuate populations, you could certainly get people out of buildings, you could get the fire department ready. Hurricane [warnings] give you an idea of what could be done."

BBC quotes researcher Fenglin Niu as saying, "What happened in China was that a lot of children were killed in school in their class; so if we can predict earthquakes even by a few minutes, we can help then to evacuate the classroom."

Art credit: freeimages.co.uk

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