News Stories

Polls NOT Accurate

Opinion polls can affect the way people vote--even on Election Day. The sad thing about all this is that they are NOT accurate! When a recent post-election analysis measured the accuracy of polls leading up to midterm elections, the findings indicated not only inaccuracies from a number of polling organizations, but BIAS in their predictions. What causes these statistical slipups and polling prejudices--is it the result of bias in polling organizations or an expected reality of predictive polling? Researcher Virginia Miori is not surprised by this. She says, "Surveys and polls are known for problems with bias even in the best cases." Miori describes polling as a delicate science in which something as simple as the time of day a poll is conducted affects its outcome. Also, a poll's accuracy is largely tied to the sample of respondents surveyed, which is a crucial step in producing a poll. Miori says, "Simply stated, the polling agencies (like those reviewed by Silver) did not question the right combination of individuals. In addition, a particular polling agency will be very likely to ask questions biased toward the results they are seeking."

This means that you should distrust poll results announced by a TV network or radio commentator that you know is biased towards one political extreme or the other. No matter how you voted, we hope you vote for US to continue with our news of the edge and incredible radio shows! (NOTE: subscribers can still listen to this show). There's only ONE way to make sure that happens and that's to subscribe today (and if you subscribe for TWO years, you'll get a FREE 2011 crop circle calendar PLUS--while supplies last--a 2010 calendar that you can use RIGHT NOW).

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