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Ernesto Heads for Florida

Ernesto became the first hurricane of the season as itssustained winds exceeded 70 MPH on Sunday. However, thestorm also appeared to be tracking farther east, which meansthat it will spend most of its life above a mix of land andwater and not enter the central Gulf of Mexico.

The National Hurricane Center expects Ernesto to move up thewest coast of Florida, making landfall in the Keys as aCategory 3 storm, and declining to Category 1 as it rolls upthe peninsula.

The farther west Ernesto's track, the more dangerous it islikely to become, but at present it appears that onlysouthern Florida will experience Category 3 intensities.This nevertheless remains a dangerous storm, and ifprevailing winds in the area change and it enters the Gulfof Mexico, forecasts could change rapidly.

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