News Stories

The End May be Cold, Not Hot

The future may not roast us--it may freeze us instead. We may even be heading for a mini ice age like the one that occurred in the 17th Century. In other words, we may soon have a REAL reason to dread December!

The rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997, despite the fact that CO2 levels have continued to rise without interruption, and now average temperatures are plunging, worldwide. The sun is now heading towards a "grand minimum" in its output, which will mean cold summers, bitter winters and a shorter crop growing season.

It may have been a relatively mild winter in the US, but there was already a deadly cold snap in Europe. This may have a lot to do with shrinking amounts of ice in the Arctic.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) says July 2011 was the fourth-warmest July on record, which melted a large amount of sea ice. Sea-ice levels last July were the lowest in 30 years. And as warmer air rises into the stratosphere over the Arctic, colder surface air moves south bringing storms to Europe.

In the Daily Mail, David Rose quotes Danish researcher Henrik Svensmark as saying, "World temperatures may end up a lot cooler than now for 50 years or more. It will take a long battle to convince some climate scientists that the sun is important. It may well be that the sun is going to demonstrate this on its own, without the need for their help."

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Global temperatures are not plunging. At best they are remaining constant, that is if you compare recent years with one peak year in the 90's.

David Rose got temperature info from the Met Office. Here is their response to how it was presented in the Daily Mail Story.

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2012/01/29/met-office-in-the-media-29...
"This article includes numerous errors...and for Mr. Rose to suggest that the latest global temperatures available show no warming in the last 15 years is entirely misleading."
"(W)hat is absolutely clear is that we have continued to see a trend of warming, with the decade of 2000-2009 being clearly the warmest in the instrumental record going back to 1850."
(A Met study) "confirmed that although solar output is likely to reduce over the next 90 years this will not substantially delay expected increases in global temperatures caused by greenhouse gases."

Cold in Europe, though not necessarily Eastern North America, has been associated with loss of Arctic sea ice, which has only accelerated over the last decade that Rose seems to think has not been warming.

http://eprints.ifm-geomar.de/8738/1/2009JD013568-pip.pdf
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRvcXUIyZg

Svensmark's work has spurred much research, which is good. Little has confirmed his findings, and much has raised questions about the accuracy, robustness and repeatability of his findings, as well as his methodology. It's not about his honesty or integrity, it's about improving and evolving methods.

http://agwobserver.wordpress.com/2009/08/31/papers-on-the-non-significan...
http://agwobserver.wordpress.com/2010/02/15/revisiting-svensmark-friis-c...

They are not saying that the sun and cosmic rays have no role in climate change. It's that anthropogenic sources dominate at present.

http://www.greenoptions.com/a/global-warming-and-climate-change-causes

Greenman3610 on Youtube has an excellent channel about climate change and all the wild claims that go with it: http://www.youtube.com/user/greenman3610#p/u

last I checked even a small iceage (fx. from a low number of sunspots) will be offset by only 7 years of human CO2 production. So prepare for a warmer climate and rising oceans (1-2m). I don't know if that will stop the gulfstream and give colder climate in Europe?

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