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Is Bin Laden Dead?
08-Jul-2002


Osama bin-Laden
It?s known that Osama bin-Laden has a serious case of kidney disease and has had dialysis machines shipped to his various hideouts. Now in his article ?Dust Bin? in the June 29, 2002 issue of the English magazine ?The Spectator,? Mark Steyn, a Brit living in New Hampshire, says Osama is dead but it?s better for both sides to pretend he?s alive.

Pakistan television regularly releases videos of bin-Laden, but none of them have any information that gives a clue about the date they were taken. Al-Qaeda officials make announcements, like the one by Suleiman Abu Ghaith, who said, ??Sheikh Osama bin Laden ...is in good and prosperous health and all what is being rumored about his illness and injury in Tora Bora has no truth.?

Steyn says, ?I think I?d want something a little more date-specific if a new Osama video turned up. You can?t expect him to hold up that morning?s paper as it would give a little too much away?but at the very least I?d expect him to cite not just his usual ancient grievances (Andalucia in 1492, etc.) but also some more recent ones?say, the Saudi World Cup team?s Mossad-engineered 8?0 humiliation.?

Steyn believes bin-Laden must be dead because otherwise his terrorist team would give us plenty of information to prove he?s alive, since it would make the U.S. war in Afghanistan look like a failure. If he?s not dead already, he may be dying in some secret hideaway. It?s known that he had several doubles, in order to deceive his enemies. He may have used healthy lookalikes because it would have been obvious to anyone who saw the real Osama that he was near death.

Steyn writes, ?Where did he go? The alleged experts seem inclined to favor either the Greater Kandahar area or the Pakistani tribal lands. Supposedly, he?s trimmed his beard, and is receiving dialysis from machines supplied by rogue elements of the ISI, Pakistan?s intelligence services, while waiting for a doctor to be flown in to perform a kidney transplant. I doubt it.?

Steyn has noticed that his followers seem to disagree on where he?s hiding. ?Hamid Karzai says he?s in Pakistan. General Musharraf says he?s in Afghanistan. From this we can deduce the general rule that, whatever country you happen to be in charge of, you?d rather Osama were in someone else?s.? Steyn points out that, after we toppled the Taliban in Afghanistan, no political leader wants us to think that bin-Laden is living in his country. If he was in a nearby Arab state, it?s likely he would be ejected, so as to avoid U.S. retaliation. No one has forgotten what happened in Iran after we allowed the Shah to enter the U.S. for medical treatment, so it?s unlikely he?s being treated in a foreign hospital.

Since most of the 911 terrorists were Saudis, yet the U.S. still considers Saudi Arabia our friend, Steyn believes that, ? If Osama is alive, Saudi Arabia?s his most likely location. That would explain why the Americans haven?t found him in any of the places they?ve looked for him: they?re choosing not to look in Saudi.?

He adds, ?In any case, Washington is in no hurry to pronounce him dead. In a celebrity culture, it?s useful to be able to put a face to what would otherwise be a shadowy menace.? He thinks that if it was known that bin-Laden is dead, the U.S. would get much less European support for our fight against al-Qaeda. ?Thus, for Bush, at home and abroad, it is politically necessary for Osama to remain alive until the invasion of Iraq is underway.?

Steyn isn?t impressed by the bin-Laden videos. ?Your average run-of-the-mill schoolgirl suicide bomber can make a farewell video.? He reminds us that the killers of Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl were able to make a video of his murder and release it to the media. ?If Daniel Pearl?s murderers can get access to a professional studio and editing facilities, surely?al-Qaeda?s leadership can. If they could have, they would have?if not Osama, then al-Zawahiri or Mullah Omar or any of the other hotshots who?ve been silent these last six months. They can?t all be recuperating from kidney transplants. One or other would have turned up to crow on 11 March (the semi-anniversary) or some other significant date.?

Steyn thinks it?s to the advantage of both the U.S. and al-Qaeda to maintain the fiction that bin-Laden is still alive. It makes the terrorists look like they?ve beaten the Goliath of the West. The remnants of al-Qaeda, scattered and weakened, are probably delighted that the U.S. hasn?t seen through their undated videos and exaggerated pronouncements.

If Osama bin-Laden is still alive, then al-Qaeda is still organized and still threatens the West. This gives the U.S. an excuse to take out Saddam Hussein.

But until he sees some clear evidence, Steyn isn?t buying it. He?s sure bin-Laden is dead.

Let?s hope the FBI knows it too. Why did they fail to predict 911? To find out, read ?The Bureau: The Secret History of the FBI? by Ronald Kessler, click here.

For more information, click here.

Related Stories:
09-Mar-2004: Osama Will Blow Himself Up if Captured
01-Mar-2004: Have We Got Bin-Laden?
22-May-2003: FBI Could Have Captured Bin-Laden Five Years Ago
05-Feb-2003: New 911 Planned
14-Nov-2002: How Can We Tell It's Osama?


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